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Record W4392461795 · doi:10.18280/ijsse.140130

Causal Analysis of Accidents During Wind Power Engineering Construction Using Bayesian Networks

2024· article· en· W4392461795 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Qianhan Zhang, Shiyue Zheng

Bibliographic record

VenueInternational Journal of Safety and Security Engineering · 2024
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicRisk and Safety Analysis
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsBayesian networkPoison controlCausal analysisWind powerOccupational safety and healthBayesian probabilityEngineeringComputer scienceEnvironmental scienceForensic engineeringRisk analysis (engineering)Medical emergencyArtificial intelligenceMedicineElectrical engineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

To investigate the causes of accidents during the construction phase of wind power projects and to prevent their occurrence, this study draws on accident investigation reports and the "2-4"Model to summarize unsafe behaviors and actions.It selects causative variables from four aspects: human, equipment, environment, and management.Integrating fault tree analysis, a Bayesian network (BN) model for analyzing the causes of accidents during wind power engineering construction is constructed using the BN software, GeNie.The model undergoes structural and parameter learning, calculating the conditional probability distribution and posterior probabilities of each node.Through variable sensitivity and analysis of the most significant causative chains of accidents, the key factor paths leading to accidents are identified, contributing to reducing the accident rate during the construction phase of wind power projects.The results indicate that inadequate personal protection and violations of regulations are prevalent among human factors.In terms of management factors, insufficient safety management and supervision are the main contributors to accidents, with a probability value exceeding 70%.Geological conditions, road conditions, limited workspace, exceptional environmental changes, proximity to energized machines, and safety protection equipment failures are significant factors in accidents during the construction phase.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.327
Threshold uncertainty score0.562

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0020.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.012
GPT teacher head0.299
Teacher spread0.287 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations4
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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