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Record W4392578741 · doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu24-10694

Airborne and ground measurements for vertical profiling of secondary ice production during ice pellet 

2024· preprint· en· W4392578741 on OpenAlexaffabout
Mathieu Lachapelle, Kenny Bala, Cuong Nguyen, Natalia Bliankinshtein, Keyvan Ranjbar, Margaux Girouard, Julie M. Thériault, Justin R. Minder, David E. Kingsmill, Jeffrey R. French, Mengistu Wolde, Leonid Nichman

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicArctic and Antarctic ice dynamics
Canadian institutionsUniversité du Québec à MontréalNational Research Council Canada
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPelletProfiling (computer programming)Environmental scienceAtmospheric sciencesIce coreOceanographyGeologyBiologyEcologyComputer science

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Predicting the accurate type of precipitation during winter storms is crucial for the implementation of mitigation measures such as aircraft deicing in commercial aviation or the spreading of salt and abrasives on roads. For this reason, a better understanding of the microphysical processes leading to winter precipitation types is essential. During freezing rain events, secondary ice produced by the freezing of supercooled raindrops via the fragmentation of freezing drops (FFD) process can initiate a chain reaction, potentially transitioning freezing rain into ice pellets. However, including this process in numerical weather prediction models is challenging due to the uncertainty in the efficiency of this mechanism. To bridge this gap, this study aims to evaluate the efficiency of the FFD process during ice pellet precipitation using measurements collected onboard the NRC Convair-580 research aircraft during the WINTRE-MIX field campaign, in February 2022. Specifically, measurements from two missed-approaches conducted in the Saint Lawrence Valley, Quebec, Canada during an ice pellet storm are analyzed. These missed-approaches provide unique datasets collected above, within, and below the ice pellet freezing altitude using in-situ and remote sensing instruments. In the region characterized by completely frozen ice pellets, a bi-modal particle size distribution, indicative of secondary ice production, was measured. Observations from imaging and optical-array probes suggest that particles smaller than 200 µm in diameter were, likely, non-spherical ice crystals, whereas the particle size mode with the larger diameters was associated with ice pellets. The observations of fractured ice pellets and ice pellets with bulges and spicules on most large particles suggested the occurrence of the FFD process. Subsequently, the measured number concentration of small ice particles, which was of the order of 500 L-1, was compared with the number concentration of ice particles simulated through existing parametrizations of secondary ice production. This analysis will be valuable for selecting the most accurate FFD process parametrization to use for freezing rain and ice pellets simulation.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.195
Threshold uncertainty score0.387

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.039
GPT teacher head0.249
Teacher spread0.210 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2024
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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