Secondary ice production within mixed-phase clouds in cold air outbreaks over the North Atlantic. 
Bibliographic record
Abstract
In-cloud measurements of ice crystal concentrations often greatly exceed ice nucleating particle (INP) concentrations. This discrepancy can be accounted for by secondary ice production (SIP), describing mechanisms producing new ice crystals from the presence of existing primary ice particles. As ice particle formation in clouds strongly influences precipitation and earth’s radiative balance, accurate representation of SIP processes is critical for global climate and weather prediction model simulations. However, the dominant SIP mechanisms operating in different cloud systems remain poorly understood. This study aims to improve understanding of SIP within mixed-phase clouds associated with cold air outbreaks (CAOs). We examine in-situ ice particle and ice-nucleating particle measurements made in October-November 2022, using the UK FAAM BAE 146 research aircraft, during a set of CAOs in the North-western Atlantic over the Labrador Sea. This flight campaign comprised part of the M-PHASE project, part of the NERC-funded CloudSense programme, which aims to reduce uncertainties in climate sensitivity due to clouds. Detailed measurements of cloud microphysical properties were made to study the evolution of stratocumulus clouds as they advect southwards before breaking up under increasingly convective conditions.In-cloud ice crystal concentrations measured with 2D-S (size range 10 - 1280 μm) and HVPS (size range 150 μm - 19.2 mm) optical array probes frequently exceeded INP concentrations measured at the same temperature. Peak ice particle concentrations greater than 200 L-1 were recorded on numerous flights, several orders of magnitude above INP concentrations. These ice concentration enhancements were observed between -5 and -10 oC, within the active temperature range for the Hallett-Mossop SIP process. Analysis of corresponding ice particle imagery from the 2D-S and Cloud Particle Imager instruments shows that small hollow columns, often mixed with larger heavily rimed particles, were the dominant ice crystal habits, providing further evidence of rime splintering. A second ice concentration peak at around -17oC was also observed. Large irregularly shaped ice crystals were present during this period, suggesting that fragmentation due to ice-ice collisions may be another active SIP mechanism.We identify a series of SIP events across the flight campaign, with their short-lived nature suggesting ice multiplication is active across limited spatial extents. These segments of elevated ice concentrations are heavily populated by ice crystals of diameter < 100μm. Overall, SIP is observed to increase across convective regions of the CAO, with stratocumulus regions upwind often consisting mainly of supercooled water.This work provides critical information for numerical modelling studies requiring detailed representation of SIP processes within mixed-phase clouds across the transition region from stratocumulus to convective regimes in CAOs.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".