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Record W4392595144 · doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu24-93

Late Pleistocene East Asian monsoon intensity variations and driving mechanisms: Evidence from a multi-proxy analysis of loess deposits on an East China Sea island

2024· preprint· en· W4392595144 on OpenAlexaff
Zhigang Wang, Laurent Marquer, Yuanyu Cheng, Xiuxiu Ren, Hao Long, Shaofang Ren, Peng Qian, Xiangmin Zheng

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicGeology and Paleoclimatology Research
Canadian institutionsMcGill University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsLoessProxy (statistics)East AsiaChinaPleistoceneChina seaGeologyEast Asian MonsoonMonsoonPhysical geographyOceanographyClimatologyGeographyPaleontologyArchaeology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Shengshan Island (SSD), located in East China Sea, contains loess deposits that serve as an excellent carrier for recording environmental changes in the eastern subtropical region of China. Different from the continental Loess Plateau, SSD loess possesses distinctive characteristics due to its coastal location. Here we conducted the first pollen analysis to reconstruct vegetation dynamics in the SSD region during the middle to late Late Pleistocene period (75-40 ka). Biological indicators (i.e., total organic concentration and δ13Corg), along with geochemical proxies (i.e., quartz grain size, magnetic susceptibility, iron oxide ratios, clay minerals, and trace elements), were employed to reconstruct climatic dynamics in the SSD area. The study identified two stages in the evolution of the East Asian Monsoon. In Stage I (75-60 ka), various indicators (i.e., pollen concentration, Pinus concentration, magnetic susceptibility, C4 abundance, K/(I+Ch), Illite crystallinity, CII, Hm/Gt, quartz median grain size, Zr/Rb) increased, suggesting a strengthening of both winter and summer monsoons. In Stage II (60-40 ka), some indicators (i.e., pollen concentration, Pinus concentration, quartz median grain size, Zr/Rb) continued to increase while others (i.e., magnetic susceptibility, C4 abundance, K/(I+Ch), Illite crystallinity, CII, Hm/Gt) decreased, indicating a continued intensification of the winter monsoon but a weakening of the summer monsoon. Further, we explored the driving forces behind variations in monsoon intensity, analyzing changes in various δ18O proxies and sea-level fluctuations. The findings suggest that different mechanisms influence the winter and summer monsoons. Summer monsoon intensity is linked to changes in summer solar radiation at mid-latitudes in the Northern Hemisphere, while winter monsoon dynamic is affected by changes in ice volume and ice sheets. These insights contribute to our understanding of environmental changes related to the East Asian Monsoon, offering valuable perspectives on how these mechanisms could respond to future climate changes.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.033
Threshold uncertainty score0.065

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.033
GPT teacher head0.272
Teacher spread0.239 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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