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Record W4392596032 · doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu24-1135

Exploring Ice Sheet-Climate Feedbacks Across the Last Glacial Cycle: Insights from a Transient Sensitivity Ensemble 

2024· preprint· en· W4392596032 on OpenAlexaff
Marilena Geng, Lev Tarasov

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicGeology and Paleoclimatology Research
Canadian institutionsMemorial University of Newfoundland
Fundersnot available
KeywordsGlacial periodClimatologyIce sheetSensitivity (control systems)Ice-sheet modelTransient (computer programming)Last Glacial MaximumClimate stateClimate sensitivityAntarctic ice sheetEnvironmental scienceClimate modelClimate changeGeologyOceanographyGlobal warmingGeomorphologyCryosphereSea iceComputer scienceEffects of global warmingIce streamEngineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Ice sheet evolution profoundly influences the climate system through changes in orography, surface albedo, freshwater fluxes to the ocean, and ocean gateways. The changes to the climate system will, in turn, affect the ice sheets, leading to complex feedback loops. To date, the relative roles of these feedback loops have not been examined over a full glacial cycle. To address this, we employ the glacial earth system model of intermediate complexity LCice in transient simulations of the complete last glacial cycle. Through ensemble-based sensitivity experiments, we isolate the impact of individual ice sheet orography, albedo, meltwater input, Bering Strait opening/closure, and glacio-isostatic adjustment on the climate system and back onto the ice sheet evolution itself. To assess possible state dependencies, we compare the individual impact of ice-climate feedbacks on both the ice sheet growth and decay phase around MIS 5d (Last Glacial Inception) and MIS 2 (Last Glacial Maximum). The sensitivity of the North American and Eurasian ice sheets to some feedbacks changes from MIS 5d to MIS 2, suggesting a potential threshold behaviour and complex non-linear dynamics. Our analysis also examines which characteristics of last glacial cycle ice sheet evolution are relatively robust and which are more likely to be highly sensitive to incompletely resolved feedback loops. This work thereby not only improves our understanding of paleo ice/climate coupled dynamics but also identifies feedback pathways that are likely to generate the largest uncertainties in coupled ice and paleoclimate modelling.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.019
Threshold uncertainty score0.038

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.069
GPT teacher head0.283
Teacher spread0.214 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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