Impact of Prognostic Graupel Density on Simulated Precipitating Convections
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Ice particles in cloud microphysics schemes are traditionally categorized as ice crystals, snow, graupel, and/or hail. Each category is defined by static parameters that determine density, diameter-mass relationship, and diameter-fall speed relationship. Several previous studies have reported considerable sensitivity in simulated precipitation systems based on these fixed parameters. This study introduces a prognostic approach for graupel density in the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) Double-Moment 6-class (WDM6) microphysics scheme, based on the work of Milbrandt and Morrison (2013). This allows graupel density to vary from 100 to 900 [kg/m3]. The modified WDM6 is tested for idealized squall line and winter snowfall cases over the Korean Peninsula. In the idealized squall line case, simulation results reveal variant graupel density in time and space, according to the evolution of squall line. For winter snowfall cases, simulations using the modified WDM6 show improved statistical skill scores, such as the root mean square error and bias, compared to the original WDM6, mitigating the positive precipitation bias simulated in the original WDM6. The modified WDM6 increases surface graupel amounts and decreases graupel suspended in the atmosphere due to faster sedimentation of graupel. Therefore, the major microphysical processes that generate graupel are influenced, subsequently reducing surface snow and precipitation over mountainous regions. Importantly, the modified WDM6 adeptly captures the relationship between graupel density and fall velocity, as verified by 2D video disdrometer measurements. *This work was supported by Basic Science Research Program through the National Research Foundation of Korea (NRF) funded by the Ministry of Education (grant no. RS-2023-00272751).
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".