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Record W4392616188 · doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu24-2195

Examining Daily Snow Depths at the Catchment Scale in Canada Using CMIP

2024· preprint· en· W4392616188 on OpenAlexaffabout
Hebatallah Abdelmoaty, Simon Michael Papalexiou, Abhishek Gaur, Yannis Markonis

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicCryospheric studies and observations
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Calgary
Fundersnot available
KeywordsSnowScale (ratio)Drainage basinEnvironmental sciencePhysical geographyHydrology (agriculture)GeographyGeologyMeteorologyCartography

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The lack of reliable data on daily snow depth (SD) is a significant challenge for studying water systems, ecology, and resources. Climate models present a potential solution for generating daily SD data, but the literature has not thoroughly explored how accurately they simulate this data. This study investigates the capabilities of CMIP6 climate models to replicate daily SD characteristics in eleven major Canadian catchments. The results depict that CMIP6 simulations overestimate the average SD values by a median of 57.7% (6.9 cm). In the Arctic and Pacific regions, this overestimation becomes particularly pronounced. However, the simulations align more closely with observations in smaller catchments with homogenous land characteristics. This finding suggests a shortcoming in how these models simulate different land types within the grid. Additionally, the models appear to overestimate the snow cover duration, with a median underestimation of 30.5 days. This overestimation could be due to the models failing to accurately account for the rates at which snow accumulates and melts away. However, the models perform relatively well when predicting extreme SD conditions. This study carries valuable implications for refining the outputs of climate models and effectively utilizing them in impact studies.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.017
Threshold uncertainty score0.124

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.052
GPT teacher head0.233
Teacher spread0.181 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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