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Record W4392652131 · doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu24-20054

Machine learning power system emulation for rapid screening of multi-sector policies

2024· preprint· en· W4392652131 on OpenAlexaff
Adil Ashraf, Mikiyas Etichia, Mohammed Basheer, Julien Harou

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicElectric Power System Optimization
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsEmulationPower (physics)Computer scienceBusinessArtificial intelligenceEconomicsEconomic growth

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Linking integrated water-energy simulation with multi-objective search algorithms provides a practical design tool for interdependent river basins and power systems. However, this approach is typically limited by the computational resources required to complete the many thousands of simulations to discover efficient solutions. We introduce an artificial neural network-based power system emulator to enable optimized design of large-scale detailed multi-sector water-energy systems. The proposed framework links an integrated power system emulator and river system simulator to an AI-driven multi-objective search design process. We compare optimized designs using both the power system emulator and simulator to check the emulators’ computational speed and accuracy. The framework is applied to the Sudanese power system and its link to the Eastern Nile river basin, to investigate how optimized operational strategies of the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (GERD) could affect Sudan’s resource systems. Results are similar for the power system emulator and simulator, showing the emulator helps to significantly reduce the computational cost of using sophisticated multi-sector policy design approaches.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.003
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.005
Threshold uncertainty score0.014

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.003
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0040.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.022
GPT teacher head0.245
Teacher spread0.223 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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