Bibliographic record
Abstract
Machine learning is failing usIsaac Tamblyn a, ba University of Ottawa, Laurier Avenue East, 75, Ottawa, Canadab Vector Institute for Artificial IntelligenceMaterials for Sustainable Development Conference (MATSUS)Proceedings of MATSUS Spring 2024 Conference (MATSUS24)#AI - Automation and Nanomaterials (machine learning, artificial intelligence, robotics, accelerated discovery)Barcelona, Spain, 2024 March 4th - 8thOrganizers: Ivan Infante and Oleksandr VoznyyInvited Speaker, Isaac Tamblyn, presentation 180DOI: https://doi.org/10.29363/nanoge.matsus.2024.180Publication date: 18th December 2023Supervised machine learning (ML) has proven to be an incredibly powerful enabling technology for electronic structure calculations. We now routinely see highly accurate predictions at a fraction of the computational cost of traditional methods. Machine learning has enabled electronic structure simulation at length-scales which previously seemed out-of-reach. The number of papers which use machine learning is increasing exponentially, with no signs of slowing down. Unfortunately, these advantages have come at a high price - ML models such as deep neural networks provide no intuitive explaination about how they arrived at a particular prediction. They also offer limited generalization capabilities: each problem is treated as a new one. Unlike simple models that appear in textbooks (and inform our intuition), machine learning models are often treated as black boxes by practitioners. Even popular explainability tools fall short - they highlight correlations rather than causation. I will discuss some of the failures and limitations of machine learning and provide examples which attempt to provide generalized insight and intutition. © FUNDACIO DE LA COMUNITAT VALENCIANA SCITOnanoGe is a prestigious brand of successful science conferences that are developed along the year in different areas of the world since 2009. Our worldwide conferences cover cutting-edge materials topics like perovskite solar cells, photovoltaics, optoelectronics, solar fuel conversion, surface science, catalysis and two-dimensional materials, among many others.nanoGe Fall MeetingnanoGe Fall Meeting (NFM) is a multiple symposia conference celebrated yearly and focused on a broad set of topics of advanced materials preparation, their fundamental properties, and their applications, in fields such as renewable energy, photovoltaics, lighting, semiconductor quantum dots, 2-D materials synthesis, charge carriers dynamics, microscopy and spectroscopy semiconductors fundamentals, etc.nanoGe Spring MeetingThis conference is a unique series of symposia focused on advanced materials preparation and fundamental properties and their applications, in fields such as renewable energy (photovoltaics, batteries), lighting, semiconductor quantum dots, 2-D materials synthesis and semiconductors fundamentals, bioimaging, etc.International Conference on Hybrid and Organic PhotovoltaicsInternational Conference on Hybrid and Organic Photovoltaics (HOPV) is celebrated yearly in May. The main topics are the development, function and modeling of materials and devices for hybrid and organic solar cells. The field is now dominated by perovskite solar cells but also other hybrid technologies, as organic solar cells, quantum dot solar cells, and dye-sensitized solar cells and their integration into devices for photoelectrochemical solar fuel production.Asia-Pacific International Conference on Perovskite, Organic Photovoltaics and OptoelectronicsThe main topics of the Asia-Pacific International Conference on Perovskite, Organic Photovoltaics and Optoelectronics (IPEROP) are discussed every year in Asia-Pacific for gathering the recent advances in the fields of material preparation, modeling and fabrication of perovskite and hybrid and organic materials. Photovoltaic devices are analyzed from fundamental physics and materials properties to a broad set of applications. The conference also covers the developments of perovskite optoelectronics, including light-emitting diodes, lasers, optical devices, nanophotonics, nonlinear optical properties, colloidal nanostructures, photophysics and light-matter coupling.International Conference on Perovskite Thin Film Photovoltaics Perovskite Photonics and OptoelectronicsThe International Conference on Perovskite Thin Film Photovoltaics Perovskite Photonics and Optoelectronics (NIPHO) is the best place to hear the latest developments in perovskite solar cells as well as on recent advances in the fields of perovskite light-emitting diodes, lasers, optical devices, nanophotonics, nonlinear optical properties, colloidal nanostructures, photophysics and light-matter coupling.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.014 | 0.043 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.003 | 0.014 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.009 | 0.018 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Research integrity | 0.007 | 0.016 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.024 | 0.016 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".