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Record W4392757903 · doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu24-13348

The varved sediment succession of Crawford Lake, Ontario, Canada: GSSP for the proposed Anthropocene Epoch 

2024· preprint· en· W4392757903 on OpenAlexaffabout
R. Timothy Patterson, Francine M.G. McCarthy, Martin J. Head, Carling R. Walsh, Nicholas L. Riddick, Brian F. Cumming, Paul B. Hamilton, Michael F. J. Pisaric, A Cale Gushulak, Peter R. Leavitt, Krysten M. Lafond, Brendan M. Llew-Williams, Autumn Heyde, Paul Michael Pilkington, Joshua Moraal, Nawaf A. Nasser, Monica Garvie, Sarah L. Roberts, Neil L. Rose, Helen Roe

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicGeology and Paleoclimatology Research
Canadian institutionsUniversity of ReginaCanadian Museum of NatureQueen's UniversityBrock UniversityCarleton University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsVarveAnthropoceneEpoch (astronomy)Ecological successionGeologyGlobal Boundary Stratotype Section and PointSedimentPaleontologyHistoryPhysical geographyGeographyStage (stratigraphy)

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The Crawford Lake sedimentary sequence in Milton, Ontario, Canada, has been chosen as the Global Boundary Stratotype Section and Point (GSSP) for the proposed Anthropocene Series/Epoch, with its inception occurring at 1952 CE in the mid-20th century. This sequence consists of seasonally deposited layers of organic matter capped by summer-deposited calcite, forming in alkaline surface waters when pH and temperature rise above 7.76 and ~15°C, respectively. These sediments preserve a range of proxies that mirror environmental shifts spanning from local, to regional, global scale, indicative of the Anthropocene's onset. Notably, a significant uptick in industrial fossil fuel combustion in the early 1950s is recorded by increased spheroidal carbonaceous particles and a shift in the sediment's nitrogen isotope composition. During the 1960s, the ratios of 239Pu:240Pu and 14C:12C peak, aligning with heightened radioactive fallout from atmospheric nuclear weapons testing, counterbalancing the old carbon effect in Crawford Lake's dolomitic basin. Post-World War II industrial growth in the Great Lakes region, part of the so-called Great Acceleration, led to acid rain that diminished calcite deposition and impacted primary productivity in the lake. This change is reflected in thinner calcite layers concurrent with the proposed GSSP. These varve thickness variations correlate with climate patterns and lake productivity trends, influenced by cycles like the Quasi-biennial Oscillation, El Nino-Southern Oscillation, the 11-year Schwabe sunspot cycle, and the Pacific Decadal Oscillation. The absence of pigments from anaerobic purple sulfur bacteria suggested an oxygen-rich monimolimnion but with elevated bottom-water salinities that was subsequently confirmed by water property data collected through the modern lake water column in all seasons. Such an aerobic depositional environment is highly atypical for a meromictic lake and it was the elevated alkalinity and higher salinity conditions that resulted in preservation of varves. The oxygenated bottom waters serendipitously prevented the mobilization of 239Pu in the lake sediments, a key primary stratigraphic marker for the Anthropocene.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.020
Threshold uncertainty score0.143

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0020.004
Science and technology studies0.0030.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0090.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.033
GPT teacher head0.273
Teacher spread0.240 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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