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Record W4392758961 · doi:10.5194/egusphere-egu24-13128

How Greenland Ice Melt Could Influence Atmospheric Variability

2024· preprint· en· W4392758961 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen, Camilla S. Andresen, Christine S. Hvidberg, Larissa van der Laan

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicCryospheric studies and observations
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsClimatologyGeologyEnvironmental scienceAtmospheric sciencesPhysical geographyGeography

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The climate patterns across Northwest Europe are shaped by the transportation of warm and moist air from the North Atlantic Ocean, driven by large-scale atmospheric circulation. A possible key to this system is the variability in sea surface temperatures (SST) southeast of Greenland, possibly influencing the trajectory of weather systems.A hypothesis suggests that the melting of the Greenland Ice Sheet plays a role in altering deep ocean convection in the Labrador Sea, leading to cooling in the ocean region southeast of Greenland. Studies propose that a substantial increase in meltwater from the Greenland Ice Sheet could potentially slow down the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC), impacting the Atlantic Storm track. In a worst-case scenario, this could shift Northwest Europe's climate from mild to subarctic conditions, reminiscent of glacial periods.However, conflicting model studies suggest a different outcome, proposing that subpolar gyre cooling induced by freshwater fluxes might intensify the North Atlantic storm track.To establish a robust connection between Greenland Ice Sheet melt and climate fluctuations in Northwest Europe, extended time series data beyond the instrumental record is essential. Additionally, a comprehensive understanding of specific climatic modes and associated storm track paths influenced by freshwater from the Greenland Ice Sheet is needed.Preliminary evidence suggests a link between Greenland Ice Sheet melt variations and climate fluctuations in Northwest Europe. If fully validated, this connection holds significant implications for accurate climate predictions, particularly given the anticipated rise in melt rates of the Greenland Ice Sheet in the future. Ensuring precise climate predictions is critical for comprehending and preparing for potential shifts in weather patterns that could impact the region's climate and ecosystems

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.098
Threshold uncertainty score0.195

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.020
GPT teacher head0.226
Teacher spread0.207 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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