Contrast Enhanced CT Radiogenomics in a Retrospective NSCLC Cohort: Models, Attempted Validation of a Published Model and the Relevance of the Clinical Context
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Rationale and ObjectiveTo develop a radiogenomic predictive model for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients studied through contrast enhanced chest computed tomography (CE-CT) targeting the most frequent gene alterations.M&MA retrospective study of patients with NSCLC imaged with CE-CT before treatment and had their tumor genomics sequenced at our institution was performed. Data was gathered from their imaging studies, their electronic medical records and a web-based database search (cBioPortal.ca). All of the patient data was tabulated for analysis. Two predictive models (M1 & M2) were created using different approaches and a third model was extracted from the literature to also be tested in our population.ResultsOut of 157 patients, eighty were male (51%) and 124 (79%) had a history of smoking. The three most prevalent genes were KRAS, TP53 and EGFR. The M1 radiomics-only model median AUC were 0.61 (TP53), 0.53 (KRAS) and 0.64 (EGFR) and for M1 radiomics + clinical were 0.61 (TP53), 0.61 (KRAS) and 0.80 (EGFR). The M2 radiomics-only model median AUC were 0.63 (TP53), 0.60 (KRAS) and 0.65 (EGFR) and for M2 radiomics + clinical were 0.64 (TP53), 0.62 (KRAS) and 0.81 (EGFR). The external EGFR radiomic model showed an AUC of 0.69 and 0.86 for the radiomics-only and combined radiomics + clinical respectively.ConclusionOur study was able to provide robust predictive radiomics model evaluation for the detection of TP53, KRAS and EGFR. We also compared our performance with an already published model and observed how impactful clinical variables can be on models' performance.Clinical Relevance StatementIdentifying tumor mutations in patients that can’t undergo biopsy is critical for their outcomes.Keypoints• Tumor genomic profiling is critical for treatment selection• CE-CT radiomics produce robust predictive models comparable to those already published• Clinical variables should be considered/included in predictive models To develop a radiogenomic predictive model for non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients studied through contrast enhanced chest computed tomography (CE-CT) targeting the most frequent gene alterations. A retrospective study of patients with NSCLC imaged with CE-CT before treatment and had their tumor genomics sequenced at our institution was performed. Data was gathered from their imaging studies, their electronic medical records and a web-based database search (cBioPortal.ca). All of the patient data was tabulated for analysis. Two predictive models (M1 & M2) were created using different approaches and a third model was extracted from the literature to also be tested in our population. Out of 157 patients, eighty were male (51%) and 124 (79%) had a history of smoking. The three most prevalent genes were KRAS, TP53 and EGFR. The M1 radiomics-only model median AUC were 0.61 (TP53), 0.53 (KRAS) and 0.64 (EGFR) and for M1 radiomics + clinical were 0.61 (TP53), 0.61 (KRAS) and 0.80 (EGFR). The M2 radiomics-only model median AUC were 0.63 (TP53), 0.60 (KRAS) and 0.65 (EGFR) and for M2 radiomics + clinical were 0.64 (TP53), 0.62 (KRAS) and 0.81 (EGFR). The external EGFR radiomic model showed an AUC of 0.69 and 0.86 for the radiomics-only and combined radiomics + clinical respectively. Our study was able to provide robust predictive radiomics model evaluation for the detection of TP53, KRAS and EGFR. We also compared our performance with an already published model and observed how impactful clinical variables can be on models' performance.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".