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Temperature rise improves harvest sustainability in a model system despite reduction in carrying capacity

2024· preprint· en· W4392788596 on OpenAlexaff
John M. Fryxell, Samantha Shaw-McDonald, Xueqi Wang, Gustavo S. Betini

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicAquatic Ecosystems and Biodiversity
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Guelph
Fundersnot available
KeywordsDaphniaBiologyEcologyAbundance (ecology)Climate changePopulationSustainabilityAnimal scienceEnvironmental scienceDemographyZooplankton

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Stage-structured population models parameterized from benchtop trials of individual growth, reproduction and survival predicted that temperature rise should make populations of Daphnia magna more resilient to periodic harvest perturbation, despite reduced stock abundance. We tested these predictions under controlled laboratory conditions on 24 populations maintained under constant levels of food abundance, but subjected to weekly harvest events over 10 weeks. As predicted, unperturbed Daphnia populations raised at 15◦C were substantially more abundant by the end of 10 week trials than those raised at 25◦C, but abundance declined sharply with harvest intensity and Daphnia populations collapsed entirely at the highest harvest rate, whereas those populations raised at 25◦C were little affected by perturbation. Our findings suggest that projected patterns of climate change should tend to make populations whose growth rates and rate of maturation increase with temperature better capable of coping with periodic harvest perturbation, despite declining levels of abundance.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.013
Threshold uncertainty score0.025

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0010.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.013
GPT teacher head0.213
Teacher spread0.201 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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