Ovarian cancer is detectable from peripheral blood using machine learning over T-cell receptor repertoires
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The extraordinary diversity of T cells and B cells is critical for body maintenance. This diversity has an important role in protecting against tumor formation. In humans, the T-cell receptor (TCR) repertoire is generated through a striking stochastic process called V(D)J recombination, in which different gene segments are assembled and modified, leading to extensive variety. In ovarian cancer (OC), an unfortunate 80% of cases are detected late, leading to poor survival outcomes. However, when detected early, approximately 94% of patients live longer than 5 years after diagnosis. Thus, early detection is critical for patient survival. To determine whether the TCR repertoire obtained from peripheral blood is associated with tumor status, we collected blood samples from 85 women with or without OC and obtained TCR information. We then used machine learning to learn the characteristics of samples and to finally predict, over a set of unseen samples, whether the person is with or without OC. We successfully stratified the two groups, thereby associating the peripheral blood TCR repertoire with the formation of OC tumors. A careful study of the origin of the set of T cells most informative for the signature indicated the involvement of a specific invariant natural killer T (iNKT) clone and a specific mucosal-associated invariant T (MAIT) clone. Our findings here support the proposition that tumor-relevant signal is maintained by the immune system and is coded in the T-cell repertoire available in peripheral blood. It is also possible that the immune system detects tumors early enough for repertoire technologies to inform us near the beginning of tumor formation. Although such detection is made by the immune system, we might be able to identify it, using repertoire data from peripheral blood, to offer a pragmatic way to search for early signs of cancer with minimal patient burden, possibly with enhanced sensitivity.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".