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Record W4392968570 · doi:10.32920/25417597.v1

Open Geodemographics and Crime: A Case Study Of Toronto

2024· preprint· en· W4392968570 on OpenAlexaffabout
Kyle Larsen

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicCrime Patterns and Interventions
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Waterloo
Fundersnot available
KeywordsCriminologyMedia studiesPolitical scienceSociology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Geodemographic segmentation systems are ubiquitous in commercial applications for marketing but academic research on geodemographics shows limited focus on crime. A criticism of geodemographic segmentation systems is their closed nature, with many systems only accessible through commercial means, making them inaccessible for general public access. Using a more open approach that provides access to geodemographic systems, methodology, and applications would increase the availability and potential use of geodemographic solutions. The research presented in this paper puts forward a geodemographic segmentation system for Toronto that uses crime data in the creation of its clusters and provides the system and the methodology open to the public. This serves the dual purpose of providing a system for others to use for their own analysis on crime within Toronto and providing the methodology for others to create their own system. This research found that crime data is well suited to a geodemographic segmentation approach. Further research can apply these open data techniques to other cities or even countries.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.004
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.085
Threshold uncertainty score0.297

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.004
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0020.006
Science and technology studies0.0190.005
Scholarly communication0.0030.001
Open science0.0010.004
Research integrity0.0010.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0060.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.142
GPT teacher head0.480
Teacher spread0.338 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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