Decision Support for Managing Common Musculoskeletal Pain Disorders: Development of a Case-Based Reasoning Application
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Common interventions for musculoskeletal pain disorders either lack evidence to support their use or have small to modest or short-term effects. Given the heterogeneity of patients with musculoskeletal pain disorders, treatment guidelines and systematic reviews have limited transferability to clinical practice. A problem-solving method in artificial intelligence, case-based reasoning (CBR), where new problems are solved based on experiences from past similar problems, might offer guidance in such situations. OBJECTIVE: This study aims to use CBR to build a decision support system for patients with musculoskeletal pain disorders seeking physiotherapy care. This study describes the development of the CBR system SupportPrim PT and demonstrates its ability to identify similar patients. METHODS: Data from physiotherapy patients in primary care in Norway were collected to build a case base for SupportPrim PT. We used the local-global principle in CBR to identify similar patients. The global similarity measures are attributes used to identify similar patients and consisted of prognostic attributes. They were weighted in terms of prognostic importance and choice of treatment, where the weighting represents the relevance of the different attributes. For the local similarity measures, the degree of similarity within each attribute was based on minimal clinically important differences and expert knowledge. The SupportPrim PT's ability to identify similar patients was assessed by comparing the similarity scores of all patients in the case base with the scores on an established screening tool (the short form Örebro Musculoskeletal Pain Screening Questionnaire [ÖMSPQ]) and an outcome measure (the Musculoskeletal Health Questionnaire [MSK-HQ]) used in musculoskeletal pain. We also assessed the same in a more extensive case base. RESULTS: The original case base contained 105 patients with musculoskeletal pain (mean age 46, SD 15 years; 77/105, 73.3% women). The SupportPrim PT consisted of 29 weighted attributes with local similarities. When comparing the similarity scores for all patients in the case base, one at a time, with the ÖMSPQ and MSK-HQ, the most similar patients had a mean absolute difference from the query patient of 9.3 (95% CI 8.0-10.6) points on the ÖMSPQ and a mean absolute difference of 5.6 (95% CI 4.6-6.6) points on the MSK-HQ. For both ÖMSPQ and MSK-HQ, the absolute score difference increased as the rank of most similar patients decreased. Patients retrieved from a more extensive case base (N=486) had a higher mean similarity score and were slightly more similar to the query patients in ÖMSPQ and MSK-HQ compared with the original smaller case base. CONCLUSIONS: This study describes the development of a CBR system, SupportPrim PT, for musculoskeletal pain in primary care. The SupportPrim PT identified similar patients according to an established screening tool and an outcome measure for patients with musculoskeletal pain.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.015 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.008 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".