I2T: From Intention Decoupling to Vehicular Trajectory Prediction Based on Prioriformer Networks
Bibliographic record
Abstract
A reliable driving trajectory prediction of surrounding vehicles is an essential reference for decision-making and safe driving of an autonomous vehicle. Although predicting short-term trajectories can be well achieved, it is still very challenging for long-term prediction of trajectories since the prediction space grows exponentially. In this paper, we propose a novel architecture for trajectory prediction from factored intention estimation (I2T), which decouples the trajectory prediction space into a high-level space for intention estimation and a low-level space for motion prediction. The long-term dependencies between intention cues and future motions during driving are naturally extended to the internal sharing mechanism of I2T, leading to improved performance. Furthermore, we design a Prioriformer model to serve as the backbone network for I2T so that it can accurately capture the long-term dependency couplings related to the task of intention estimation or motion prediction. Prioriformer model adopts a personalized normalization method, which facilitates learning latent representations of long-term features and avoids getting stuck on local optimum. A designed multi-scale fusion encoder extracts features from various receptive fields and then learns richer information from the representation subspaces. An efficient non-autoregressive decoder reduces the pressure in long-term prediction of trajectories while avoiding cumulative errors. Experiments on three real-world motion datasets show that I2T can significantly outperform the state-of-the-art.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".