I2T: From Intention Decoupling to Vehicular Trajectory Prediction Based on Prioriformer Networks
Bibliographic record
Abstract
A reliable driving trajectory prediction of surrounding vehicles is an essential reference for decision-making and safe driving of an autonomous vehicle. Although predicting short-term trajectories can be well achieved, it is still very challenging for long-term prediction of trajectories since the prediction space grows exponentially. In this paper, we propose a novel architecture for trajectory prediction from factored intention estimation (I2T), which decouples the trajectory prediction space into a high-level space for intention estimation and a low-level space for motion prediction. The long-term dependencies between intention cues and future motions during driving are naturally extended to the internal sharing mechanism of I2T, leading to improved performance. Furthermore, we design a Prioriformer model to serve as the backbone network for I2T so that it can accurately capture the long-term dependency couplings related to the task of intention estimation or motion prediction. Prioriformer model adopts a personalized normalization method, which facilitates learning latent representations of long-term features and avoids getting stuck on local optimum. A designed multi-scale fusion encoder extracts features from various receptive fields and then learns richer information from the representation subspaces. An efficient non-autoregressive decoder reduces the pressure in long-term prediction of trajectories while avoiding cumulative errors. Experiments on three real-world motion datasets show that I2T can significantly outperform the state-of-the-art.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".