Large multi-decade beaver ponding changes in the subarctic Hudson Bay Lowlands, Canada observed using satellite remote sensing
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Beavers strongly impact hydrology and ecosystems through their widespread dam building that creates ponds and wetlands. Monitoring the relative abundance of beavers and their waterbodies is needed to assess these effects and factors influencing population levels. However, the ability to do this over vast, remote regions is limited with conventional aerial or field-based surveying. To address this challenge, we developed a satellite remote sensing method to track beaver ponding changes over multiple decades and applied it to a 5127 km 2 region of the coastal Hudson Bay Lowlands in Manitoba, Canada. Annual, sub-pixel surface water mapping using 30 m resolution Landsat satellite data, combined with a spatial database of beaver dams, permitted the mapping of 37 year (1985–2021) beaver ponding dynamics. We identified 1714 beaver dams and 1085 beaver pond complexes covering 31 km 2 , indicating that beavers have an important influence on stream hydrology in this high subarctic landscape. The total area of ponding decreased by 53% from 1986–1989 and by 80% by 1995, and then gradually recovered to initial levels by 2015. The early, steep drop in beaver ponding corresponded to a 13% decline in regional surface water area, while a similar wetness decline during 2015–2018 resulted in little change in beaver ponding. We suggest that strong beaver ponding dynamics were likely caused by the interaction between streamflow levels and beaver populations living near their northern range limit and cold tolerance. The pond mapping method can be applied to other regions if the long-term distribution of beaver dams is known, and ponds are large enough to be identified using a Landsat sub-pixel approach.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".