MétaCan
Menu
Back to cohort
Record W4393152703 · doi:10.3329/dujs.v72i1.71247

Proposing a New Estimator of Overdispersion for Multinomial Data

2024· article· en· W4393152703 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Farzana Afroz

Bibliographic record

VenueDhaka University Journal of Science · 2024
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicData-Driven Disease Surveillance
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsOverdispersionMultinomial distributionEstimatorMathematicsStatisticsEconometricsComputer scienceCount dataPoisson distribution

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The classical approach of estimating overdispersion parameter, Φ, by Pearson's goodness of fit statistic is not appropriate when the data are sparse. We have considered several estimators of Φ, derived from the Pearson's statistic and the deviance statistic for multinomial data. The proposed estimator of Φ depending on the deviance statistic is shown to perform the best for increasing level of sparsity and overdispersion, regarding the root mean squared error. As a practical example dead recovery data collected on Herring gulls from Kent Island, Canada are considered. A parametric extra variation model finite mixture distribution is used in the simulation study. Dhaka Univ. J. Sci. 72(1): 56-62, 2024 (January)

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.019
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.078
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.019
Threshold uncertainty score0.099

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0190.078
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.001
Bibliometrics0.0030.003
Science and technology studies0.0010.002
Scholarly communication0.0030.004
Open science0.0030.003
Research integrity0.0020.003
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.046
GPT teacher head0.338
Teacher spread0.292 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

Same venueDhaka University Journal of ScienceSame topicData-Driven Disease SurveillanceFrench-language works237,207