Vessel and Airway Characteristics in One-Year Computed Tomography–Defined Rapid Emphysema Progression: SPIROMICS
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Rationale Rates of emphysema progression vary in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and the relationships with vascular and airway pathophysiology remain unclear. Objectives We sought to determine if indices of peripheral (segmental and beyond) pulmonary arterial dilation measured on computed tomography (CT) are associated with a 1-year index of emphysema (EI; percentage of voxels <−950 Hounsfield units) progression. Methods Five hundred ninety-nine former and never-smokers (Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease stages 0–3) were evaluated from the SPIROMICS (Subpopulations and Intermediate Outcome Measures in COPD Study) cohort: rapid emphysema progressors (RPs; n = 188, 1-year ΔEI > 1%), nonprogressors (n = 301, 1-year ΔEI ± 0.5%), and never-smokers (n = 110). Segmental pulmonary arterial cross-sectional areas were standardized to associated airway luminal areas (segmental pulmonary artery–to–airway ratio [PAARseg]). Full-inspiratory CT scan–derived total (arteries and veins) pulmonary vascular volume (TPVV) was compared with small vessel volume (radius smaller than 0.75 mm). Ratios of airway to lung volume (an index of dysanapsis and COPD risk) were compared with ratios of TPVV to lung volume. Results Compared with nonprogressors, RPs exhibited significantly larger PAARseg (0.73 ± 0.29 vs. 0.67 ± 0.23; P = 0.001), lower ratios of TPVV to lung volume (3.21 ± 0.42% vs. 3.48 ± 0.38%; P = 5.0 × 10−12), lower ratios of airway to lung volume (0.031 ± 0.003 vs. 0.034 ± 0.004; P = 6.1 × 10−13), and larger ratios of small vessel volume to TPVV (37.91 ± 4.26% vs. 35.53 ± 4.89%; P = 1.9 × 10−7). In adjusted analyses, an increment of 1 standard deviation in PAARseg was associated with a 98.4% higher rate of severe exacerbations (95% confidence interval, 29–206%; P = 0.002) and 79.3% higher odds of being in the RP group (95% confidence interval, 24–157%; P = 0.001). At 2-year follow-up, the CT-defined RP group demonstrated a significant decline in postbronchodilator percentage predicted forced expiratory volume in 1 second. Conclusions Rapid one-year progression of emphysema was associated with indices indicative of higher peripheral pulmonary vascular resistance and a possible role played by pulmonary vascular–airway dysanapsis.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".