Explainable finite mixture of mixtures of bounded asymmetric generalized Gaussian and Uniform distributions learning for energy demand management
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
We introduce a mixture of mixtures of bounded asymmetric generalized Gaussian and uniform distributions. Based on this framework, we propose model-based classification and model-based clustering algorithms. We develop an objective function for the minimum message length (MML) model selection criterion to discover the optimal number of clusters for the unsupervised approach of our proposed model. Given the crucial attention received by Explainable AI (XAI) in recent years, we introduce a method to interpret the predictions obtained from the proposed model in both learning settings by defining their boundaries in terms of the crucial features. Integrating Explainability within our proposed algorithm increases the credibility of the algorithm’s predictions since it would be explainable to the user’s perspective through simple If-Then statements using a small binary decision tree. In this paper, the proposed algorithm proves its reliability and superiority to several state-of-the-art machine learning algorithms within the following real-world applications: fault detection and diagnosis (FDD) in chillers, occupancy estimation and categorization of residential energy consumers.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it