Optimizing the approach to monitoring allograft inflammation using serial urinary CXCL10/creatinine testing in pediatric kidney transplant recipients
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Urinary CXCL10/creatinine (uCXCL10/Cr) is proposed as an effective biomarker of subclinical rejection in pediatric kidney transplant recipients. This study objective was to model implementation in the clinical setting. METHODS: Banked urine samples at a single center were tested for uCXCL10/Cr to validate published thresholds for rejection diagnosis (>80% specificity). The positive predictive value (PPV) for rejection diagnosis for uCXCL10/Cr-indicated biopsy was modeled with first-positive versus two-test-positive approaches, with accounting for changes associated with urinary tract infection (UTI), BK and CMV viremia, and subsequent recovery. RESULTS: Seventy patients aged 10.5 ± 5.6 years at transplant (60% male) had n = 726 urine samples with n = 236 associated biopsies (no rejection = 167, borderline = 51, and Banff 1A = 18). A threshold of 12 ng/mmol was validated for Banff 1A versus no-rejection diagnosis (AUC = 0.74, 95% CI = 0.57-0.92). The first-positive test approach (n = 69) did not resolve a clinical diagnosis in 38 cases (55%), whereas the two-test approach resolved a clinical diagnosis in the majority as BK (n = 17/60, 28%), CMV (n = 4/60, 7%), UTI (n = 8/60, 13%), clinical rejection (n = 5/60, 8%), and transient elevation (n = 18, 30%). In those without a resolved clinical diagnosis, PPV from biopsy for subclinical rejection is 24% and 71% (p = .017), for first-test versus two-test models, respectively. After rejection treatment, uCXCL10/Cr level changes were all concordant with change in it-score. Sustained uCXCL10/Cr after CMV and BK viremia resolution was associated with later acute rejection. CONCLUSIONS: Urinary CXCL10/Cr reliably identifies kidney allograft inflammation. These data support a two-test approach to reliably exclude other clinically identifiable sources of inflammation, for kidney biopsy indication to rule out subclinical rejection.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.007 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".