1-Year Mortality Prediction through Artificial Intelligence Using Hemodynamic Trace Analysis among Patients with ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background and Objectives: Patients presenting with ST Elevation Myocardial Infarction (STEMI) due to occlusive coronary arteries remain at a higher risk of excess morbidity and mortality despite being treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI). Identifying high-risk patients is prudent so that close monitoring and timely interventions can improve outcomes. Materials and Methods: A cohort of 605 STEMI patients [64.2 ± 13.2 years, 432 (71.41%) males] treated with PPCI were recruited. Their arterial pressure (AP) wave recorded throughout the PPCI procedure was analyzed to extract features to predict 1-year mortality. After denoising and extracting features, we developed two distinct feature selection strategies. The first strategy uses linear discriminant analysis (LDA), and the second employs principal component analysis (PCA), with each method selecting the top five features. Then, three machine learning algorithms were employed: LDA, K-nearest neighbor (KNN), and support vector machine (SVM). Results: The performance of these algorithms, measured by the area under the curve (AUC), ranged from 0.73 to 0.77, with accuracy, specificity, and sensitivity ranging between 68% and 73%. Moreover, we extended the analysis by incorporating demographics, risk factors, and catheterization information. This significantly improved the overall accuracy and specificity to more than 76% while maintaining the same level of sensitivity. This resulted in an AUC greater than 0.80 for most models. Conclusions: Machine learning algorithms analyzing hemodynamic traces in STEMI patients identify high-risk patients at risk of mortality.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".