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Beyond Molecular Structure: Critically Assessing Machine Learning for Designing Organic Photovoltaic Materials and Devices

2024· preprint· en· W4393365073 on OpenAlexafffund
Martin Seifrid, Stanley Lo, Dylan G. Choi, Gary Tom, My Linh Le, Kunyu Li, Rahul Sankar, Hoai‐Thanh Vuong, Hiba Wakidi, Ahra Yi, Ziyue Zhu, Nora Schopp, Aaron Peng, Benjamin R. Luginbuhl, Thuc‐Quyen Nguyen, Alán Aspuru‐Guzik

Bibliographic record

VenueChemRxiv · 2024
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMaterials Science
TopicMachine Learning in Materials Science
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Toronto
FundersDivision of Materials ResearchOffice of Naval ResearchNatural Resources CanadaNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaMaterials Research Science and Engineering Center, Harvard UniversityNational Science FoundationAdvanced Research Projects AgencyAir Force Office of Scientific ResearchUniversity of California, Santa BarbaraDefense Advanced Research Projects AgencyVector Institute
KeywordsComputer scienceQuality (philosophy)Photovoltaic systemKey (lock)Data scienceMachine learningWork (physics)State (computer science)Artificial intelligenceData miningEngineeringElectrical engineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Our study explores the current state of machine learning (ML) as applied to predicting and designing organic photovoltaic (OPV) devices. We outline key considerations for selecting the method of encoding a molecular structure and selecting the algorithm while also emphasizing important aspects of training and rigorously evaluating ML models. This work presents the first dataset of OPV device fabrication data mined from the literature. The top models achieve state-of-the-art predictive performance. In particular, we identify an algorithm that is used less frequently, but may be particularly well suited to similar datasets. However, predictive performance remains modest (R2 ≅ 0.6) overall. An in-depth analysis of the dataset attributes this limitation to challenges relating to the size of the dataset, as well as data quality and sparsity. These aspects are directly tied to difficulties imposed by current reporting and publication practices. Advocating for standardized reporting of OPV device fabrication data reporting in publications emerges as crucial to streamline literature mining and foster ML adoption. This comprehensive investigation emphasizes the critical role of both data quantity and quality, and highlights the need for collective efforts to unlock ML's potential to drive advancements in OPV.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.027
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.098
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.027
Threshold uncertainty score0.145

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0270.098
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0020.001
Bibliometrics0.0030.004
Science and technology studies0.0010.002
Scholarly communication0.0060.009
Open science0.0030.002
Research integrity0.0030.004
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.013
GPT teacher head0.286
Teacher spread0.273 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2024
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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