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Record W4393536876 · doi:10.5281/zenodo.7969574

FABLE Scenathon database 2019

2023· dataset· en· W4393536876 on OpenAlex
Aline Mosnier, Fernando Orduña-Cabrera

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.
aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.

Bibliographic record

VenueIIASA PURE (International Institute of Applied Systems Analysis) · 2023
Typedataset
Languageen
FieldAgricultural and Biological Sciences
TopicBioeconomy and Sustainability Development
Canadian institutionsUniversity of British Columbia
Fundersnot available
KeywordsComputer science

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This database contains key parameters and variables from the 2019 Scenathon run by the Food, Agriculture, Biodiversity, Land-Use, and Energy (FABLE) Consortium. A scenathon - a scenario marathon - is a multi-objective challenge that allows a decentralized global modeling approach with multiple models developed by different teams in the world at national and regional scales and a methodology to link them, ensuring international trade consistency and tracking collective progress towards the achievement of global sustainability targets. The Scenathon 2019 database includes results at the global, country, and rest of the world region levels for indicators related to food and nutrition security, land and biodiversity, GHG emissions from agriculture and land use change, and agricultural input use. It also includes key parameters that can be used to explain the results, such as the evolution of productivity and all supply and use balance items at the commodity level. It is possible to visualise some of the key results on the Scenathon dashboard. Scope of the 2019 database: Pathways: The Current Trends (CT) pathway reflects a low-ambition future shaped by existing policies. Countries and regions: Argentina, Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, Colombia, Ethiopia, Finland, Germany, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Mexico, Russia, Rwanda, Sweden, South Africa, the UK, and the United States and Rest of America, Rest of Asia, Rest of Central Asia, Rest of European Union, Rest of Middle East, Rest of non-European Union, Rest of Pacific. Time: 2000-2050, results are provided for each five-year-time step. Trade adjustment: results are provided before and after the trade adjustment; the total imports are balanced. The readme worksheet provides all the relevant information on the indicators and definitions of acronyms used in the database.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Dataset · Consensus signal: Dataset
Teacher disagreement score0.005
Threshold uncertainty score0.994

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.017
GPT teacher head0.238
Teacher spread0.221 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it