Track dataset of Indian monsoon low-pressure systems in Subseasonal-to-Seasonal prediction models, ERA-Interim and MERRA-2 reanalysis datasets
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This dataset contains tracks and intensities of Indian monsoon low-pressure systems (LPSs), as identified in all ensemble members of eleven models of the Subseasonal-to-Seasonal (S2S) prediction project during a common reforecast period of May–October 1999–2010. Track details of LPSs identified in the ERA-Interim and MERRA-2 reanalysis datasets during June–September 1999–2010. The temporal resolution of all S2S models is daily (0000 UTC), whereas that of ERA-Interim and MERRA-2 are six-hourly and three-hourly respectively. LPSs were tracked using a feature-tracking algorithm (Hunt et al., 2016; 2018), which is based on identifying and linking track points featuring 850 hPa relative vorticity maximum. Non-LPSs (e.g., heat lows) were eliminated from the dataset using a temperature-pressure filter. A full description of S2S models used in the dataset, and the tracking as well as post-tracking process is described in the paper: https://doi.org/10.1175/WAF-D-20-0081.1 Files: 1. S2S models bom_lps: contains track details of LPSs identified in all ensemble members of the Bureau of Meteorology model cma_lps: contains track details of LPSs identified in all ensemble members of the China Meteorological Administration model cnrm_lps: contains track details of LPSs identified in all ensemble members of the Météo France/Centre National de Recherche Meteorologiques model eccc_lps: contains track details of LPSs identified in all ensemble members of the Environment and Climate Change Canada model ecmwf_lps: contains track details of LPSs identified in all ensemble members of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts model hmcr_lps: contains track details of LPSs identified in all ensemble members of the Hydrometeorological Centre of Russia model isac-cnr_lps: contains track details of LPSs identified in all ensemble members of the Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate of the National Research Council model jma_lps: contains track details of LPSs identified in all ensemble members of the Japan Meteorological Agency model kma_lps: contains track details of LPSs identified in all ensemble members of the Korea Meteorological Administration model ncep_lps: contains track details of LPSs identified in all ensemble members of the National Centers for Environmental Prediction model ukmo_lps: contains track details of LPSs identified in all ensemble members of the UK Met Office model Columns: candidate_id: a random identity number for each LPS hindcast: the reforecast date of a hindcast file from which an LPS was identified lat: the latitude of an LPS at a given time step lon: the longitude of an LPS at a given time step lead: the forecast lead time, calculated as the difference between the LPS date and reforecast date of the hindcast from which it was identified time: a time stamp showing when an LPS was present vort: the 850 hPa relative vorticity at the centre of an LPS at a given time step member: the ensemble member from which an LPS was identified; the control run is indicated by a zero (0) 2. Reanalysis datasets era-interim_lps: contains track details of LPSs identified in the ERA-Interim reanalysis dataset. merra-2_lps: contains track details of LPSs identified in the MERRA-2 reanalysis dataset. Columns: time: a time stamp showing when an LPS was present lon: the longitude of an LPS at a given time step lat: the latitude of an LPS at a given time step candidate_id: a random identity number for each LPS vort: the 850 hPa relative vorticity at the centre of an LPS at a given time step For further details, contact Akshay Deoras (deorasakshay@gmail.com).
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.017 | 0.017 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".