VirusPredictor: XGBoost-based software to predict virus-related sequences in human data
Bibliographic record
Abstract
MOTIVATION: Discovering disease causative pathogens, particularly viruses without reference genomes, poses a technical challenge as they are often unidentifiable through sequence alignment. Machine learning prediction of patient high-throughput sequences unmappable to human and pathogen genomes may reveal sequences originating from uncharacterized viruses. Currently, there is a lack of software specifically designed for accurately predicting such viral sequences in human data. RESULTS: We developed a fast XGBoost method and software VirusPredictor leveraging an in-house viral genome database. Our two-step XGBoost models first classify each query sequence into one of three groups: infectious virus, endogenous retrovirus (ERV) or non-ERV human. The prediction accuracies increased as the sequences became longer, i.e. 0.76, 0.93, and 0.98 for 150-350 (Illumina short reads), 850-950 (Sanger sequencing data), and 2000-5000 bp sequences, respectively. Then, sequences predicted to be from infectious viruses are further classified into one of six virus taxonomic subgroups, and the accuracies increased from 0.92 to >0.98 when query sequences increased from 150-350 to >850 bp. The results suggest that Illumina short reads should be de novo assembled into contigs (e.g. ∼1000 bp or longer) before prediction whenever possible. We applied VirusPredictor to multiple real genomic and metagenomic datasets and obtained high accuracies. VirusPredictor, a user-friendly open-source Python software, is useful for predicting the origins of patients' unmappable sequences. This study is the first to classify ERVs in infectious viral sequence prediction. This is also the first study combining virus sub-group predictions. AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION: www.dllab.org/software/VirusPredictor.html.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".