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Record W4394951047 · doi:10.1101/2024.04.17.24305928

Assessing GPT-4’s Diagnostic Accuracy with Darker Skin Tones: Underperformance and Implications

2024· preprint· en· W4394951047 on OpenAlexaff
Edgar Akuffo‐Addo, Luna Samman, Leena Munawar, Maya Akbik, Nelly Kokikian, Raquel Wescott, Jashin J. Wu

Bibliographic record

VenuemedRxiv · 2024
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicCutaneous Melanoma Detection and Management
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMedical diagnosisDiagnostic accuracyMedicineSkin lesionDermatologyUnivariateArtificial intelligenceComputer sciencePathologyMultivariate statisticsRadiologyMachine learning

Abstract

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Abstract Introduction Conversational artificial intelligence (AI) language models like ChatGPT have emerged as promising tools for patients seeking medical information and guidance. However, their use raises ethical concerns due to the potential for inaccurate medical advice that could harm patients. Previous studies in dermatological machine-learning have highlighted that the underrepresentation of diverse skin types in research could lead to bias and reduced performance in evaluating skin lesions in darker skin tones. This study aims to assess the accuracy of GPT-4 in generating appropriate differential diagnoses and arriving at the correct diagnoses for common skin lesions. Additionally, we investigate any differences in its diagnostic accuracy between darker and lighter skin tones. Method Fifty images were randomly selected from the Fitzpatrick 17k dataset, a publicly available online collection of clinical images labelled with the appropriate diagnoses and skin types based on the Fitzpatrick scoring system. Half of the images selected represented darker skin tones, Fitzpatrick IV-VI, and the other half represented lighter skin tones, Fitzpatrick I-II. For each selected dermatological condition, GPT-4 was presented with pairs of images - one from a lighter skin tone and another from a darker skin tone. GPT-4 was then asked to provide its top three differential diagnoses and a final diagnosis for each pair. The responses generated by GPT-4 were transcribed and compared against the labels provided in the dataset to evaluate accuracy. Subsequently, a univariate linear regression analysis was conducted to investigate the relationship between Fitzpatrick skin type and diagnostic accuracy of GPT-4. Results Out of the 50 selected images, the distribution of Fitzpatrick skin types was as follows: 40% were Fitzpatrick type I, 10% were type II, 4% were type IV, 26% were type V, and 20% were type VI. Overall, GPT-4 correctly diagnosed the condition in 28% of the images (n=14/50), while the correct diagnosis was included in its list of top differentials for 48% of the images (n=24/50). GPT-4 exhibited better performance in providing the correct diagnosis for lighter skin tones (44%, n=11/25) compared to darker skin tones (12%, n=3/25), and this was statistically significant (p-value < 0.05). Furthermore, with each unit increase in the Fitzpatrick scale, GPT-4s performance decreased by 11.4% in accurately providing a differential diagnosis and by 7.1% in accurately providing the correct diagnosis. Conclusion GPT-4 exhibited significantly lower overall accuracy compared to previous studies reporting accuracies as high as 90%. This discrepancy highlights GPT-4s potential limitations in providing accurate information without sufficient clinical context. While GPT-4 could serve as a valuable learning tool for medical students and dermatology residents, it may not be suitable for patients seeking clinical input to self-diagnose lesions at home. It is important to note that this study is limited by its relatively small sample size, which could impact the generalizability of the findings. If GPT-4 is to be considered for use by patients in a clinical setting, it is important to ensure that it demonstrates high accuracy and remains unbiased across all patient demographics and skin types.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.027
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.214
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.027
Threshold uncertainty score0.145

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0270.214
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0030.002
Open science0.0010.002
Research integrity0.0010.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.027
GPT teacher head0.315
Teacher spread0.289 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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