An overview of the NEMO modelling for the BaySys project
Bibliographic record
Abstract
This article is intended as an introduction to discuss the development of a modelling framework to examine simulated climate change and river discharge regulation and their combined impact on marine conditions in the Hudson Bay Complex as a contribution to BaySys, a collaborative project between Manitoba Hydro, Hydro-Quebec, the University of Manitoba, the University of Alberta, Université Laval and Ouranos. In support of this work, a sea ice and oceanographic model was improved and then used to further study the effects of freshwater loading and ice cover on the circulation of Hudson Bay. This modelling perspective is based on the Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean (NEMO) ocean general circulation model coupled to version 2 of the Louvain-la-Neuve sea ice model (LIM2). The goal of the modelling was to provide a framework and tool for simulating projected changes in marine state and dynamic variables, while also enabling an integration of observations and numerical analyses. A key aspect of this work was the climate-hydrologic-ocean model integration aspect. The inclusion of a biogeochemical model and explicit tidal forcing to examine the evolution of a Canadian marginal sea with century-long integrations was also a novel aspect of the work. Overall, this work examines the NEMO modelling configuration used in BaySys, how it is set up and the experiments carried out. A broader picture evaluation of the model output is made including the BaySys mooring observations, showing that the modelling framework is suitable to examine the posed questions on the role of climate change and river regulation.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.011 | 0.003 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".