Indication for endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography and development of hemorrhage: a systematic review and meta-analysis
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: Hemorrhage is a common complication associated with endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography (ERCP), usually following sphincterotomy. Studies investigating risk factors for hemorrhage including ERCP indication have been conflicting. Therefore, we conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to characterize the association between the ERCP indication and hemorrhage. Methods: Database searches of MEDLINE, EMBASE, and CENTRAL were conducted to identify articles up to December 12, 2022. Randomized trials or observational studies of adult patients undergoing ERCP were included. Quality assessment using the Cochrane Risk of Bias 2.0 and Newcastle-Ottawa Scales for randomized trials and observational studies respectively was conducted. A random effects meta-analysis generating pooled odds ratios with 95% confidence intervals was conducted. Results: A total of 1323 articles were identified of which 26 were included with up to 25 121 subjects in each meta-analysis. Rates of sphincterotomy (median 96.1%; IQR 60.5-100), biliary stent placement (median 17.2%; IQR 10.6-34.4), antiplatelet use (median 6.0%; IQR 0-10.1), and anticoagulant use (median 1.9%; IQR 0%-3.2%) varied among included studies. No specific indication was associated with hemorrhage in the meta-analyses including cholangitis (OR 1.50; 95% CI 0.97-2.32), choledocholithiasis/biliary stone (OR 1.28; 95% CI 0.95-1.73), malignancy (OR 0.97; 95% CI 0.66-1.42), sphincter of Oddi dysfunction (OR 1.32; 95% CI 0.72-2.40), and acute pancreatitis (OR 0.81; 95% CI 0.44-1.49). Conclusions: Overall, no indication was significantly associated with increased hemorrhage following ERCP. However, given limitations in the included studies (ie, significant heterogeneity between studies), additional research to better characterize these associations is needed. Protocol Registration Number: PROSPERO (CRD42021283978).
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.004 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".