Wide and Deep Learning Model for Satellite-Based Real-Time Aerosol Retrievals in China
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Machine learning methods have been recognized as rapid methods for satellite-based aerosol retrievals but have not been widely applied in geostationary satellites. In this study, we developed a wide and deep learning model to retrieve the aerosol optical depth (AOD) using Himawari-8. Compared to traditional deep learning methods, we embedded a “wide” modeling component and tested the proposed model across China using independent training (2016–2018) and test (2019) datasets. The results showed that the “wide” model improves the accuracy and enhances model interpretability. The estimates exhibited better accuracy (R2 = 0.81, root-mean-square errors (RMSEs) = 0.19, and within the estimated error (EE) = 63%) than those of the deep-only models (R2 = 0.78, RMSE = 0.21, within the EE = 58%). In comparison with extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) and Himawari-8 V2.1 AOD products, there were also significant improvements. In addition to higher accuracy, the interpretability of the proposed model was superior to that of the deep-only model. Compared with other seasons, higher contributions of spring to the AOD concentrations were interpreted. Based on the application of the wide and deep learning model, the near-real-time variation of the AOD over China could be captured with an ultrafine temporal resolution.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".