Predicting Head & Neck Cancer Treatment Outcomes with Quantitative Ultrasound Texture Features & Optimizing Machine Learning Classifiers with Novel Texture-of-Texture Features
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Aim: Cancer treatments with radiation present a challenging physical toll for patients, which can be justified by the potential reduction in cancerous tissue with treatment. However, there remain patients for whom treatments do not yield desired outcomes. Radiomics involves using biomedical images to determine imaging features which, when used in tandem with retrospective treatment outcomes, can train machine learning (ML) classifiers to create predictive models. In this study we investigated whether pre-treatment imaging features from index lymph node (LN) quantitative ultrasound (QUS) scans parametric maps of head & neck (H&N) cancer patients can provide predictive information about treatment outcomes. Methods: 72 H&N cancer patients with bulky metastatic LN involvement were recruited for study. Involved bulky neck nodes were scanned with ultrasound prior to the start of treatment for each patient. QUS parametric maps and related radiomics texture-based features were determined and used to train two ML classifiers (support vector machines (SVM) and k-nearest neighbour (k-NN)) for predictive modeling using retrospectively labelled binary treatment outcomes, as determined clinically 3-months after completion of treatment. Additionally, novel higher-order texture-of-texture (TOT) features were incorporated and evaluated in regards to improved predictive model performance. Results: It was found that a 7-feature multivariable model of QUS texture features using a support vector machine (SVM) classifier demonstrated 81% sensitivity, 76% specificity, 79% accuracy, 86% precision and an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.82 in separating responding from non-responding patients. All performance metrics improved after implementation of TOT features to 85% sensitivity, 80% specificity, 83% accuracy, 89% precision and AUC of 0.85. Similar trends were found with k-NN classifier. Conclusion: Binary H&N cancer treatment outcomes can be predicted with QUS texture features acquired from index LNs. Prediction efficacy improved by implementing TOT features following methodology outlined in this work.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".