The multi-scale coupled model: a new framework capturing wind farm–atmosphere interaction and global blockage effects
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract. The growth in the number and size of wind energy projects in the last decade has revealed structural limitations in the current approach adopted by the wind industry to assess potential wind farm sites. These limitations are the result of neglecting the mutual interaction of large wind farms and the thermally stratified atmospheric boundary layer. While currently available analytical models are sufficiently accurate to conduct site assessments for isolated rotors or small wind turbine clusters, the wind farm's interaction with the atmosphere cannot be neglected for large-size arrays. Specifically, the wind farm displaces the boundary layer vertically, triggering atmospheric gravity waves that induce large-scale horizontal pressure gradients. These perturbations in pressure alter the velocity field at the turbine locations, ultimately affecting global wind farm power production. The implication of such dynamics can also produce an extended blockage region upstream of the first turbines and a favorable pressure gradient inside the wind farm. In this paper, we present the multi-scale coupled (MSC) model, a novel approach that allows the simultaneous prediction of micro-scale effects occurring at the wind turbine scale, such as individual wake interactions and rotor induction, and meso-scale phenomena occurring at the wind farm scale and larger, such as atmospheric gravity waves. This is achieved by evaluating wake models on a spatially heterogeneous background velocity field obtained from a reduced-order meso-scale model. Verification of the MSC model is performed against two large-eddy simulations (LESs) with similar average inflow velocity profiles and a different capping inversion strength, so that two distinct interfacial gravity wave regimes are produced, i.e. subcritical and supercritical. Interfacial waves can produce high blockage in the first case, as they are allowed to propagate upstream. On the other hand, in the supercritical regime their propagation speed is less than their advection velocity, and upstream blockage is only operated by internal waves. The MSC model not only proves to successfully capture both local induction and global blockage effects in the two analyzed regimes, but also captures the interaction between the wind farm and gravity waves, underestimating wind farm power by about only 2 % compared with the LES results. Conversely, wake models alone cannot distinguish between differences in thermal stratification, even if combined with a local induction model. Specifically, they are affected by a first-row overprediction bias that leads to an overestimation of the wind farm power by 13 % to 20 % for the modeled regimes.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it