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Influence of Meltwater from Labrador Sea ice and icebergs transported via Flemish Cap on the long-term North Atlantic Cold Anomaly

2024· preprint· en· W4396793694 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
David Allan, Richard P. Allan

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicArctic and Antarctic ice dynamics
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersNatural Environment Research CouncilSight Research UK
KeywordsIcebergMeltwaterOceanographyGeologySea iceFlemishGlacierIce shelfContinental shelfNorth Atlantic Deep WaterClimatologyCryosphereThermohaline circulationGeographyGeomorphology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The long-term North Atlantic Cold Anomaly (Cold Blob) was largely the consequence of three major episodes of low sea surface temperature (SST) in the subpolar North Atlantic in 1972-74, 1984-85 and 1991-94. Each of these episodes correlated with unusually low SST at Flemish Cap (a subsurface island of the Canadian continental shelf 600km east of Newfoundland) and with periods of high sea-ice cover over the deep basin of the Labrador Sea a year earlier. These cold periods at Flemish Cap and the Cold Blob were associated with the advance of sea-ice and icebergs to Flemish Cap, high iceberg counts off the coast of Newfoundland and the appearance of icebergs along the path of the North Atlantic Current (NAC) east of Flemish Cap. Studies of SST anomalies provided evidence for surface connections between Flemish Cap and the CB which utilize part of the NAC pathway. We propose that in the cold periods, residual meltwater from sea-ice and icebergs conveyed in the Labrador Current to Flemish Cap was relayed via the NAC to the subpolar North Atlantic to form the Cold Blob. After 1995, anomalous ice expansion in the Labrador Sea basin greatly diminished, sea-ice and icebergs did not reach Flemish Cap and cold meltwater was no longer transmitted to the subpolar North Atlantic to sustain the Cold Blob. This improved understanding of 20th century meltwater pathways in the North Atlantic may relate to changes in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation and associated impacts on regional climate in the 21st century.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.227
Threshold uncertainty score0.451

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.008
GPT teacher head0.194
Teacher spread0.185 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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