A CNN-LSTM model using elliptical constraints for temporally consistent sun position estimation
Bibliographic record
Abstract
More accurate sun position estimation could transform the design and operation of solar power systems, weather forecasting services, and outdoor augmented reality systems. Although several image-based approaches to sun position estimation have been proposed, their performance is significantly affected by momentary disruptions in cloud cover because they use only a single image as input. This study proposes a deep learning-based sun position estimation system that leverages spatial, temporal, and geometric features to accurately regress sun positions even when the sun is partially or entirely occluded. In the proposed approach, spatial features are extracted from an input image sequence by applying a separate Resnet-based convolution network to each frame. To ensure that the temporal changes in the brightness distribution across frames are considered, the spatial features are concatenated and passed on to a stack of LSTM layers prior to regressing the final sun position. The proposed network is also trained with elliptical (geometric) constraints to ensure that predicted sun positions are consistent with the natural elliptical path of the sun in the sky. The proposed approach's performance was evaluated on the Sirta and Laval datasets along with a custom dataset, and an R 2 Score of 0.98 was achieved, which is at least 0.1 higher than that of previous approaches. The proposed approach is capable of identifying the position of the sun even when occluded and was employed in a novel sky imaging system consisting of only a camera and fisheye lens in place of a complex array of sensors
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".