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Record W4398133617 · doi:10.4337/9781035321100.00022

Generative thinking in programme evaluation: Pawson in prison

2024· book-chapter· en· W4398133617 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Raymond Pawson

Bibliographic record

VenueEdward Elgar Publishing eBooks · 2024
Typebook-chapter
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicEvaluation and Performance Assessment
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPrisonGenerative grammarEpistemologySociologyPsychologyCognitive scienceLinguisticsPhilosophyCriminology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Episode 12 reconstructs Duguid and Pawson’s evaluation of the rehabilitative potential of an educational programme in Canadian penitentiaries. The causal structure of intervention effectiveness is profoundly realist. Interventions carry different potential for change according to the resources and reasoning of their recipients. The basic causal question in policy evaluation becomes highly conditional, changing from ‘what works’ to ‘what works for whom, in what circumstances, in what respects, and why’. As with most mechanism-based inquiry, this question brings sub-group analysis to the fore. In this instance, different sub-groups of prisoners undergoing a prolonged period of education were found to respond in quite different ways. The sub-groups were first identified via qualitative interviews, which were transformed into formal hypotheses, which were then tested using record-keeping data that compared actual outcomes with historical norms. This mix of methods is typical of realist inquiry.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.029
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMetaresearch, Meta-epidemiology (narrow), Scholarly communication, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: Other
Teacher disagreement score0.617
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0290.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.000
Bibliometrics0.0020.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0070.002
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0010.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.235
GPT teacher head0.435
Teacher spread0.200 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreOther

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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