Continued Instability in Manitoba: Deficits, Taxes, Elections, and Resetting Government
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Underneath the Golden Boy, I argued that the veneer of political and economic stability was beginning to decay in Manitoba.In this edition, this theme is further explored and argues that in the fallout of the Provincial Sales Tax (PST) increase in Fall 2013, Manitoba has endured more political and economic instability.The time frame for this analysis is June 2013 to July 2014.We ended last year's discussion with an overview of the public policy landscape and the surprise budgetary announcement of a one percent increase to the province sales tax (PST) for the next ten years.This increase, which amounts to approximately $280 million annually or close to $3 billion over the ten years, is earmarked for infrastructure programs.Given the lack of popularity that taxes enjoy with the electorate (see Himelfarb and Himelfarb 2013), it is perhaps not surprising that this year's edition begins with a discussion of this public policy decision.The paper begins with an overview of the PST controversy and then explores how Premier Selinger responded to this controversy vis--vis a change in political and bureaucratic leadership.
Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it