External validation of the Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center preoperative nomogram predicting lymph node invasion in a cohort of high‐grade prostate cancer patients
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Commonly used preoperative nomograms predicting clinical and pathological outcomes in prostate cancer (PCa) patients have not been yet validated in high-grade only PCa patients. Our objective is to perform an external validation of the Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) preoperative nomogram as a predictor of lymph node invasion (LNI) in a cohort of high-grade PCa patients. METHODS: We included patients with high-grade PCa (Gleason ≥8) treated at our institution between 2011 and 2020 with radical prostatectomy and pelvic lymph node dissection without receiving neoadjuvant or adjuvant therapy. The area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operator characteristic (ROC) was used to quantify the accuracy of the model to predict LNI. A calibration plot was used to evaluate the model's precision, and a decision curve analysis was computed to evaluate the net benefit associated with its use. This study was approved by our institution's ethics board. RESULTS: A total of 242 patients with a median age of 66 (60-71) years were included. LNI was observed in 70 (29%) patients with a mean of 16 (median = 15; range = 2-42) resected nodes. The MSKCC nomogram discriminative accuracy, as evaluated by the AUC-ROC was 79.0% (CI: [0.727-0.853]). CONCLUSION: The MSKCC preoperative nomogram is a good predictor of LNI and a useful tool associated with net clinical benefit in this patient population.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.011 | 0.017 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".