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Record W4399216018 · doi:10.1175/bams-d-24-0138.1

How to Engage and Adapt to Unprecedented Extremes

2024· article· en· W4399216018 on OpenAlexaff
Dominic Matte, Jens Hesselbjerg Christensen, Martin Drews, Stefan Sobolowski, Dominique Paquin, Amanda H. Lynch, Scott Bremer, Ida Engholm, Nicolas D. Brunet, Erik W. Kolstad, Helena Kettleborough, Vikki Thompson, Emanuele Bevacqua, Dorothy Heinrich, S. C. Pryor, Andrea Böhnisch, Frauke Feser, Andreas F. Prein, Erich Fischer, Martin Leduc

Bibliographic record

VenueBulletin of the American Meteorological Society · 2024
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicDisaster Management and Resilience
Canadian institutionsUniversity of GuelphOuranos
FundersDeutsche ForschungsgemeinschaftNordisk MinisterrådNational Science Foundation
KeywordsEnvironmental scienceMeteorologyClimatologyEarth scienceGeologyGeography

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Exploring Unprecedented ExtremesWhat: Facing the urgent challenge of extreme weather and climate-related events, our societal frameworks for "resilience" and "adaptation" are proving to be insufficient.This paper introduces the "Exploring Unprecedented Extremes" workshop, which was convened to elucidate the research gap in light of such challenges.The workshop tackled a broad spectrum of issues, ranging from assessing out-of-sample climatic events that defy traditional modeling approaches to enhancing the communication of risks and likelihoods associated with such unprecedented events.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.010
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.023
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Other · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.019
Threshold uncertainty score0.065

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0100.023
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.000
Science and technology studies0.0070.012
Scholarly communication0.0110.016
Open science0.0020.016
Research integrity0.0080.010
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0190.010

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.021
GPT teacher head0.282
Teacher spread0.261 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreOther

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations5
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

Explore more

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