Performance-based ice engineering framework: A data-driven multi-scale approach
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Ice storms are one of the most devastating natural hazards which have the potential to inflict significant damage to the built environment. The multi-hazard nature of ice events complicates the analysis of their induced risk due to their inherent nonlinear interactions. In addition, the concurrent and interacting hazards are often responsible for several aerodynamical/dynamical instabilities such as the galloping mechanism. Moreover, the existing risk approaches are usually not suited for large-scale risk evaluation over extended geographical regions due to the involved high-computational costs. Therefore, in this study, a novel data-driven multi-scale performance-based ice engineering (PBIE) framework is developed to support the design of new structures subjected to ice storms or the rehabilitation of existing ones. In addition, the proposed PBIE is capable of rapidly estimating the real-time risk over an extended region due to an ice event. Specifically, it leverages the superior capabilities of state-of-the-art data-driven techniques (e.g., machine learning) to efficiently generate the corresponding risk maps and identify the high-risk areas. The proposed PBIE framework is applied to a simplified example in which the galloping-induced risk on iced conductors, in terms of the galloping amplitude, is evaluated for both local and regional scales. The resulting PBIE framework can be readily applied for design or retrofitting purposes or integrated within an emergency response management system to inform preventive actions that can mitigate the ice storm-induced damages and save lives.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.003 | 0.004 |
| Open science | 0.004 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".