Epidemiologic Trends in Human Papillomavirus–Associated Sinonasal Squamous Cell Carcinoma
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Importance: Sinonasal squamous cell carcinoma (SNSCC) is the most commonly encountered cancer within the sinonasal cavity. Ongoing research has sought to ascertain the potential role of human papillomavirus (HPV) in the pathogenesis of SNSCC. Objective: To assess trends in HPV-associated and HPV-independent SNSCC over time, including assessment of clinical demographics, treatment patterns, and survival. Design, Setting, and Participants: This cohort study used patient data from the National Cancer Institute's Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program database between 1975 and 2018. Anatomic sites with a greater predilection for HPV positivity (ie, nasal cavity, ethmoid sinus) were used as a surrogate for HPV-associated SNSCC; meanwhile, patients with SNSCC in the other subsites were classified into the HPV-independent group. Data were analyzed from August 2022 to May 2023. Main Outcomes and Measures: Clinical demographics and mortality trends over time were described for the HPV-associated and HPV-independent groups and further stratified according to stage on presentation. Results: The study population consisted of 3752 patients with SNSCC (mean [SD] age at diagnosis, 65.7 [13.3] years; 2417 [64.4%] male), with 1983 (52.9%) having HPV-associated SNSCC and 1769 (47.1%) with HPV-independent SNSCC. Patients with HPV-associated subsites compared with patients with HPV-independent SNSCC were more likely to present with localized disease (838 [42.3%] vs 162 [9.2%]), whereas more patients in the HPV-independent group than HPV-associated group presented with regional disease (1018 [57.5%] vs 480 [24.2%]). Incidence-based mortality was stable over time within the HPV-associated group (0.32%) and, conversely, showed a significant decrease within the HPV-independent group (-2.29%). Patients with HPV-associated SNSCC had a higher 5-year overall survival when compared with the HPV-independent group (62% vs 35% [difference, 27 percentage points; 95% CI, 23-31 percentage points]). The better 5-year overall survival in the HPV-associated group vs HPV-independent group was present across all disease stages (localized: hazard ratio [HR], 2.67; 95% CI, 1.96-3.65; regional: HR, 1.53; 95% CI, 1.29-1.82; and distant: HR, 1.97; 95% CI, 1.52-2.55). Conclusions and Relevance: This cohort study showed that the proportion of HPV-associated SNSCC rose over time associated with both a rise in the proportion of nasal cavity SNSCC and a decrease in HPV-independent maxillary sinus SNSCC. These data suggest that HPV-associated SNSCC has a distinct demographic and prognostic profile, given the improved survival seen in patients with HPV-associated SNSCC.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".