Clinical Validation of Digitally Acquired Clinical Data and Machine Learning Models for Remote Measurement of Psoriasis and Psoriatic Arthritis: A Proof-of-Concept Study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Objective Psoriatic disease remains underdiagnosed and undertreated. We developed and validated a suite of novel, sensor-based smartphone assessments (Psorcast app) that can be self-administered to measure cutaneous and musculoskeletal signs and symptoms of psoriatic disease. Methods Participants with psoriasis (PsO) or psoriatic arthritis (PsA) and healthy controls were recruited between June 5, 2019, and November 10, 2021, at 2 academic medical centers. Concordance and accuracy of digital measures and image-based machine learning models were compared to their analogous clinical measures from trained rheumatologists and dermatologists. Results Of 104 study participants, 51 (49%) were female and 53 (51%) were male, with a mean age of 42.3 years (SD 12.6). Seventy-nine (76%) participants had PsA, 16 (15.4%) had PsO, and 9 (8.7%) were healthy controls. Digital patient assessment of percent body surface area (BSA) affected with PsO demonstrated very strong concordance (Lin concordance correlation coefficient [CCC] 0.94 [95% CI 0.91-0.96]) with physician-assessed BSA. The in-clinic and remote target plaque physician global assessments showed fair-to-moderate concordance (CCCerythema0.72 [0.59-0.85]; CCCinduration0.72 [0.62-0.82]; CCCscaling0.60 [0.48-0.72]). Machine learning models of hand photos taken by patients accurately identified clinically diagnosed nail PsO with an accuracy of 0.76. The Digital Jar Open assessment categorized physician-assessed upper extremity involvement, considering joint tenderness or enthesitis (AUROC 0.68 [0.47-0.85]). Conclusion The Psorcast digital assessments achieved significant clinical validity, although they require further validation in larger cohorts before use in evidence-based medicine or clinical trial settings. The smartphone software and analysis pipelines from the Psorcast suite are open source and freely available.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.010 | 0.013 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".