Americium-241 in peat bogs as a global marker of the beginning of the Anthropocene: examples from Europe and North America
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Fallout radionuclides are being considered as potential global indicators of the beginning of the Anthropocene, yet questions persist about their preservation in bogs. This study assessed the reliability of 241Am records in peat cores from acidic, ombrotrophic bogs. The source of 241Am (half-life 432.7 years) in these natural archives is radioactive decay of the short-lived plutonium isotope 241Pu (half-life 14.329 years) present in fallout from the atmospheric testing of nuclear weapons. We leveraged previously gathered data to gauge the congruence of 241Am records with 210Pb dates, examining the alignment of the 241Am activity peak with the depth corresponding to the year AD 1963, as determined using the 210Pb constant rate of supply (CRS) model. Our analysis employed 35 peat cores from 30 sites across Europe and North America, collected over the last three decades for trace metal deposition studies. Each core underwent independent 210Pb dating. Among the 35 cores, 10 were excluded because of significant uncertainty in 241Am peak quantification. Among the remaining 25 cores, 22 displayed a single 241Am peak and 3 exhibited two peaks with similar 241Am activities. Of the 22 cores with a single peak, 18 were within 10 years of AD 1963, with 10 of those being within 5 years. For 10 of the 22 cores, 14C dates obtained from the atmospheric bomb pulse curve enabled comparison, with 9 showing ≤10 years of difference and 7 of those showing ≤5 years from the 210Pb CRS model AD 1963. Factors contributing to age discrepancies included (i) analytical limitations of 241Am measurements in peat using gamma spectrometry, (ii) the impact of peat accumulation rates on 241Am activities, i.e., dilution effects, (iii) post-depositional migration of 241Pu and (or) 241Am, (iv) uncertainties introduced during 210Pb age-modelling, and (v) the limited number of samples dated using 14C. The usefulness of 241Am as an Anthropocene marker (assuming AD 1963) hinges on the accepted uncertainty level in defining this epoch. Detection of 241Am through gamma spectrometry was statistically validated as a real peak in 22 out of a total of 35 cores: this fraction (63%) is within the range reported in other studies. Given that the cores were gathered from 16 European and 14 North American sites, these peaks can be taken to denote the hemispheric onset of the Anthropocene. Lastly, common post-depositional migration of 137Cs in ombrotrophic peatlands contrasts with its immobility in minerotrophic peatlands, where the presence of mineral matter and neutral pH inhibit its movement. This observation suggests that fens and swamps, characterized by minerotrophic conditions, may also serve as repositories of nuclear weapons test fallout, including 241Am.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".