Influence of Model Evolution and System Roles on ChatGPT’s Performance in Chinese Medical Licensing Exams: Comparative Study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: With the increasing application of large language models like ChatGPT in various industries, its potential in the medical domain, especially in standardized examinations, has become a focal point of research. Objective: The aim of this study is to assess the clinical performance of ChatGPT, focusing on its accuracy and reliability in the Chinese National Medical Licensing Examination (CNMLE). Methods: The CNMLE 2022 question set, consisting of 500 single-answer multiple choices questions, were reclassified into 15 medical subspecialties. Each question was tested 8 to 12 times in Chinese on the OpenAI platform from April 24 to May 15, 2023. Three key factors were considered: the version of GPT-3.5 and 4.0, the prompt's designation of system roles tailored to medical subspecialties, and repetition for coherence. A passing accuracy threshold was established as 60%. The χ2 tests and κ values were employed to evaluate the model's accuracy and consistency. Results: GPT-4.0 achieved a passing accuracy of 72.7%, which was significantly higher than that of GPT-3.5 (54%; P<.001). The variability rate of repeated responses from GPT-4.0 was lower than that of GPT-3.5 (9% vs 19.5%; P<.001). However, both models showed relatively good response coherence, with κ values of 0.778 and 0.610, respectively. System roles numerically increased accuracy for both GPT-4.0 (0.3%-3.7%) and GPT-3.5 (1.3%-4.5%), and reduced variability by 1.7% and 1.8%, respectively (P>.05). In subgroup analysis, ChatGPT achieved comparable accuracy among different question types (P>.05). GPT-4.0 surpassed the accuracy threshold in 14 of 15 subspecialties, while GPT-3.5 did so in 7 of 15 on the first response. Conclusions: GPT-4.0 passed the CNMLE and outperformed GPT-3.5 in key areas such as accuracy, consistency, and medical subspecialty expertise. Adding a system role insignificantly enhanced the model's reliability and answer coherence. GPT-4.0 showed promising potential in medical education and clinical practice, meriting further study.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.020 | 0.098 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".