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Record W4400235177 · doi:10.11159/iccste24.003

Probabilistic, Safety-Explicit, Reliability-Based Road Design

2024· article· en· W4400235177 on OpenAlexaffvenue
Yasser Hassan

Bibliographic record

VenueProceedings of the International Conference on Civil, Structural and Transportation Engineering · 2024
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEngineering
TopicInfrastructure Maintenance and Monitoring
Canadian institutionsCarleton University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsReliability engineeringProbabilistic logicComputer scienceReliability (semiconductor)Reliability theoryProbabilistic designEngineeringArtificial intelligenceEngineering design process

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Reliability analysis has been widely applied in many civil engineering fields.Current design standards in structural and geotechnical engineering applications are based on reliability analysis to reflect the design' probability of failure.Several applications have been researched in transportation engineering including road design.However, road design guides have not adopted such applications.Rather, current design practices in road design are typically based on assuming near-worst conditions for most design parameters.For example, in calculating stopping sight distance, conservative values are assumed for the perception-reaction time, deceleration rate, and speed.When the stopping sight distance model is applied or vertical curve design for example, conservative values are also assumed for driver eye height and object height.In addition, while design guidelines are derived to ensure safe vehicle operation, safety is considered only implicitly.For example, the design formula for minimum horizontal curve radius is derived based on the forces acting on a vehicle during cornering to ensure that the vehicle will not skid off the road.However, the final design criteria do not provide designers with tools to assess the consequences of deviation from the design assumptions.As a result, current road design guidelines are generally considered deterministic and safety implicit.A probabilistic, safety-explicit, reliability-based road design is an alternative approach where the full distribution of each design parameter is considered designers can assess the design safety impacts using explicit safety measures.Several researchers have adopted reliability analysis to examine road design criteria methods in road design applications such as stopping sight distance, passing sight distance, intersection sight distance, horizontal curve design, and length of speed change lanes.This presentation will discuss the main reliability analysis methods, proposed safety measures, and existing research utilizing reliability analysis in road design.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.414
Threshold uncertainty score0.554

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.012
GPT teacher head0.214
Teacher spread0.202 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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