Time Series Forecasting Using LSTM to Predict Stock Market Price in the First Quarter of 2024
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Predictions on the stock market are critical because they significantly influence the world economy. The value of share prices usually experiences continuous fluctuations. Therefore, predicting share price growth is very important. Notable stocks dominating global markets include Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, and Google. The paper discusses predictions for developing these four shares for the next two months. The research uses the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) Network method to predict stock prices for the next two months using an input sequence of previous stock values. LSTM methods demonstrate the capacity to retain long-term memory while reducing the influx of irrelevant information and superior efficiency in data processing, prediction, and classification. After analysis, the results show that the close price value from Microsoft shows the highest results, reaching 374.736${\$}$.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.015 | 0.008 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.004 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it