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Building an Inference Engine Using AI and The World’s Largest Meta- Analysis: Lesson Learned

2024· article· en· W4400443603 on OpenAlexaff
Piers Steel, Jason A. Colquitt, Hadi Fariborzi, Burak Cem Konduk, David M. Long, Stephen Reid, Isabel Villamor

Bibliographic record

VenueAcademy of Management Proceedings · 2024
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldComputer Science
TopicExplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI)
Canadian institutionsMount Royal UniversityUniversity of Calgary
Fundersnot available
KeywordsInferenceComputer scienceMeta-analysisArtificial intelligenceMachine learningMedicine

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This symposium describes the lessons learned during the creation of the world's largest meta-analysis, that is over 2,500 studies assessing over 160 constructs from the field of Organizational Justice. By combining cloud based meta-analytic databases, online statistical engines, curated selection of academic articles and the new LLMs, we have elevated this into an effective inference engine. Using the LLM, questions are translated into variables and specific search terms. Based on these variables, the relevant empirical results are drawn from the cloud based meta-analytic database and analyzed by an online statistical engine. Interpretation of results are enhanced by a core base of review articles as well as relevant articles drawn using the search terms from the meta-analysis database, whereupon the LLM provides custom, empirically sourced answers (with appropriate citations) back to the user in seconds. For more sophisticated queries, the LLM can create the specific R code to analyze the database, which is then executed by the statistical engine. As we will demonstrate, inference engines based on meta-analytic databases appear to be the ideal vehicle for interacting with scientific knowledge.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.903
Threshold uncertainty score0.728

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.003
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.002
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.105
GPT teacher head0.381
Teacher spread0.276 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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