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Record W4400450585 · doi:10.31219/osf.io/dwcjv

Hidden Markov Model: Tutorial

2024· preprint· en· W4400450585 on OpenAlexaff
Benyamin Ghojogh, Fakhri Karray, Mark Crowley

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldComputer Science
TopicExplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI)
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Waterloo
Fundersnot available
KeywordsComputer scienceHidden Markov modelMarkov modelMarkov chainArtificial intelligenceMachine learning

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This is a tutorial paper for Hidden Markov Model (HMM). First, we briefly review the background on Expectation Maximization (EM), Lagrange multiplier, factor graph, the sum-product algorithm, the max-product algorithm, and belief propagation by the forward-backward procedure. Then, we introduce probabilistic graphical models including Markov random field and Bayesian network. Markov property and Discrete Time Markov Chain (DTMC) are also introduced. We, then, explain likelihood estimation and EM in HMM in technical details. We explain evaluation in HMM where direct calculation and the forward-backward belief propagation are both explained. Afterwards, estimation in HMM is covered where both the greedy approach and the Viterbi algorithm are detailed. Then, we explain how to train HMM using EM and the Baum-Welch algorithm. We also explain how to use HMM in some applications such as speech and action recognition.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Scholarly communication, Open science, Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: Methods
Teacher disagreement score0.561
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.000
Open science0.0030.009
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.002

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.036
GPT teacher head0.296
Teacher spread0.260 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreMethods

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2024
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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