A Digital Intervention for Capturing the Real-Time Health Data Needed for Epilepsy Seizure Forecasting: Protocol for a Formative Co-Design and Usability Study (The ATMOSPHERE Study)
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: Epilepsy is a chronic neurological disorder affecting individuals globally, marked by recurrent and apparently unpredictable seizures that pose significant challenges, including increased mortality, injuries, and diminished quality of life. Despite advancements in treatments, a significant proportion of people with epilepsy continue to experience uncontrolled seizures. The apparent unpredictability of these events has been identified as a major concern for people with epilepsy, highlighting the need for innovative seizure forecasting technologies. OBJECTIVE: The ATMOSPHERE study aimed to develop and evaluate a digital intervention, using wearable technology and data science, that provides real-time, individualized seizure forecasting for individuals living with epilepsy. This paper reports the protocol for one of the workstreams focusing on the design and testing of a prototype to capture real-time input data needed for predictive modeling. The first aim was to collaboratively design the prototype (work completed). The second aim is to conduct an "in-the-wild" study to assess usability and refine the prototype (planned research). METHODS: This study uses a person-based approach to design and test the usability of a prototype for real-time seizure precipitant data capture. Phase 1 (work completed) involved co-design with individuals living with epilepsy and health care professionals. Sessions explored users' requirements for the prototype, followed by iterative design of low-fidelity, static prototypes. Phase 2 (planned research) will be an "in-the-wild" usability study involving the deployment of a mid-fidelity, functional prototype for 4 weeks, with the collection of mixed methods usability data to assess the prototype's real-world application, feasibility, acceptability, and engagement. This phase involves primary participants (adults diagnosed with epilepsy) and, optionally, their nominated significant other. The usability study will run in 3 rounds of deployment and data collection, aiming to recruit 5 participants per round, with prototype refinement between rounds. RESULTS: The phase-1 co-design study engaged 22 individuals, resulting in the development of a mid-fidelity, functional prototype based on identified requirements, including the tracking of evidence-based and personalized seizure precipitants. The upcoming phase-2 usability study is expected to provide insights into the prototype's real-world usability, identify areas for improvement, and refine the technology for future development. The estimated completion date of phase 2 is the last quarter of 2024. CONCLUSIONS: The ATMOSPHERE study aims to make a significant step forward in epilepsy management, focusing on the development of a user-centered, noninvasive wearable device for seizure forecasting. Through a collaborative design process and comprehensive usability testing, this research aims to address the critical need for predictive seizure forecasting technologies, offering a promising approach to improving the lives of individuals with epilepsy. By leveraging predictive analytics and personalized machine learning models, this technology seeks to offer a novel approach to managing epilepsy, potentially improving clinical outcomes, including quality of life, through increased predictability and seizure management. INTERNATIONAL REGISTERED REPORT IDENTIFIER (IRRID): DERR1-10.2196/60129.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.042 | 0.060 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.004 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.004 | 0.004 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.004 | 0.003 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.004 | 0.003 |
| Open science | 0.004 | 0.003 |
| Research integrity | 0.006 | 0.006 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.031 | 0.006 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".