Patterns of brain volume and metabolism predict clinical features in the progressive supranuclear palsy spectrum
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Progressive supranuclear palsy (PSP) is a neurodegenerative tauopathy that presents with highly heterogenous clinical syndromes. We perform cross-sectional data-driven discovery of independent patterns of brain atrophy and hypometabolism across the entire PSP spectrum. We then use these patterns to predict specific clinical features and to assess their relationship to phenotypic heterogeneity. We included 111 patients with PSP (60 with Richardson syndrome and 51 with cortical and subcortical variant subtypes). Ninety-one were used as the training set and 20 as a test set. The presence and severity of granular clinical variables such as postural instability, parkinsonism, apraxia and supranuclear gaze palsy were noted. Domains of akinesia, ocular motor impairment, postural instability and cognitive dysfunction as defined by the Movement Disorders Society criteria for PSP were also recorded. Non-negative matrix factorization was used on cross-sectional MRI and fluorodeoxyglucose-positron emission tomography (FDG-PET) scans. Independent models for each as well as a combined model for MRI and FDG-PET were developed and used to predict the granular clinical variables. Both MRI and FDG-PET were better at predicting presence of a symptom than severity, suggesting identification of disease state may be more robust than disease stage. FDG-PET predicted predominantly cortical abnormalities better than MRI such as ideomotor apraxia, apraxia of speech and frontal dysexecutive syndrome. MRI demonstrated prediction of cortical and more so sub-cortical abnormalities, such as parkinsonism. Distinct neuroanatomical foci were predictive in MRI- and FDG-PET-based models. For example, vertical gaze palsy was predicted by midbrain atrophy on MRI, but frontal eye field hypometabolism on FDG-PET. Findings also differed by scale or instrument used. For example, prediction of ocular motor abnormalities using the PSP Saccadic Impairment Scale was stronger than with the Movement Disorders Society Diagnostic criteria for PSP oculomotor impairment designation. Combination of MRI and FDG-PET demonstrated enhanced detection of parkinsonism and frontal syndrome presence and apraxia, cognitive impairment and bradykinesia severity. Both MRI and FDG-PET patterns were able to predict some measures in the test set; however, prediction of global cognition measured by Montreal Cognitive Assessment was the strongest. MRI predictions generalized more robustly to the test set. PSP leads to neurodegeneration in motor, cognitive and ocular motor networks at cortical and subcortical foci, leading to diverse yet overlapping clinical syndromes. To advance understanding of phenotypic heterogeneity in PSP, it is essential to consider data-driven approaches to clinical neuroimaging analyses.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".